2020 arizona monsoon season predictions
Albuquerque WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE 2020 Monsoon Outlook Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) Figure 29.The MJO is an area of enhanced thunderstorms that travels around the world every 30 to 60 days from west to east along/near the equator. x��gC*Iӆ��sP�(��(&��(AQP$�=�����C�!�g��}���M�f��P���_a0��`0��`0��`0��`0��`0��`0��`0��`0��`0��`0��`0��`0��`0��_� ?m�_��`��L}�Xhtp��tx�� See long range weather forecasts for the next 60 days for the Desert Southwest Region.
Even the faintest appearance of El Nino starts casting shadows upon Monsoon. Arizona monsoon 2020: Is rain coming soon? Once you’ve been here for a while, spring is a reminder of hot days ahead.Spring is the driest season of the year, and it's when things really start to heat up, according to National Weather Service data.Historically, Phoenix’s driest month is June with just 0.02 inch of rain on average. Ahead and behind the active stormy area are areas of suppressed convection and drier conditions.
“The Climate Prediction Center outlook shows equal chances of below normal, normal or above-normal rainfall this year.”Meanwhile, the center's outlook shows a 60% probability of above-normal temperatures this year.One signal that meteorologists check out when putting together such outlooks is the presence of El Niño conditions in the eastern Pacific Ocean. �M���ޅ=��,&E�����B�@�xAY*}�w endobj In 2019, Tucson got 1.07 inches in July, but this year it got only 0.46 inches. }����y�f�ʄ�=!�Op���C�S��E u�-b��@�-8s����&t�#�6���~`���b�����0�p�Sv�2gߛ�7ͫk��=�U$n����Z��^��"��+xӴ��V9� This La Nina I expect to develop by Summer and last for a year. [0�����}P�D̥� 9 0 obj stream <>/Pattern<>/XObject<>/Font<>/ProcSet[/PDF/Text/ImageB/ImageC/ImageI] >>/MediaBox[ 0 0 960 540] /Contents 4 0 R/Group<>/Tabs/S/StructParents 0>> <>/Metadata 1963 0 R/ViewerPreferences 1964 0 R>> endobj According to the Climate Prediction Center, there is a 50% probability of above-average temperatures in April, May and June. <> That was a different pattern and the monsoon is associated with that specific flow pattern.”The area of high pressure — also known as the monsoon high — responsible for the recent heatwaves isn’t in a position to be a catalyst for monsoon storms.The Arizona monsoon usually gets going in early July when the monsoon high is in position over the Four Corners area to bring moisture-laden southerly winds from Mexico into the state. The heat wave that ended May and is carrying over into June has a lot of us thinking about what summer and the Arizona monsoon will be like.Those topics have been on the minds of the meteorologists at the National Weather Service offices that serve Arizona (in Flagstaff, Las Vegas, Phoenix and Tucson). endobj July and early August are the peak of the monsoon season. Daytime highs in Tucson, Arizona, should stay below 100 degrees later this week. 2020 Monsoon Outlook Forecasts from the most highly skilled climate forecast models indicate that precipitation in central and northern New Mexico during July, August and September (JAS) 2020 will most likely range from near to slightly below 1981-2010 climatological averages. %���� V��!�^� ��A%�)9K��? But they remain optimistic. When it comes to the northeast corner of the state that outlook shifts to a 33% chance of below-normal precipitation.This comes after a winter in which Phoenix saw above-average rainfall.Through March 19, Phoenix had 3.47 inches of rain in 2020. �Q❝z�G�������|��̞������F4�C�0�r8�U�Cn�%Pɵ�x�z8�q�¦=ٶGX�m���-��=�4�����iN�M�z�d�{��]��`�]B{�m��5'����C���^��ɶ�4�,h�{׆F5N�_���Z\�Ǎ\���r�Ju�'�`�Yg0�4`ᱹ_��DhA��������@�W���L�g1-��SyuM� Vs��Q?P݁XH�pR�8�I�w9 “People see storms, when it’s getting close to the summer, and associate them with the monsoon.
5 0 obj 5F4��J뙦�)}��(~V�]c�����s9��>VZ�V2K�r���"T(O �. May 9, 2020 at 10:47 am. <> Southwest Monsoon is nearing for the Indian subcontinent. �(�]�"+N!�`䪜-�rF>��t���+�I��Q �Uhwː ��ֺ`]��$圜���5)#��6�ʢp� �P9����Q㈑ a�T� �H��ޑ�h�0��9g�mI����w�����d�����`�KN$��)2��ajN��T ������7�`l@���������?���_��T�>�?������`g�}l��Hp�=rjQ�����V6�S���v��D�|9%�zsH��B����lh����"�餟�d�>��u�+I�N.? That heat caused the National Weather Service to issue several days' worth of excessive heat warnings.May 2020 wound up being one of the warmest on record for that month.The average high temperature of 99.7 degrees was third warmest for that statistic (the record was 101.2 in 1984) and the average low temperature of 72.7 was fifth warmest for that statistic (73.8 degrees in 2009 tops that list).The average temperature (taking the average high and low and dividing by 2) of 86.2 degrees was fourth on the all-time list.
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